Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-14 16.790536 19.446349 22.323735 25.664974 29.429914 33.532677 38.333341
2025-09-21 11.998018 15.576175 19.834233 25.236740 31.866728 39.693100 49.582069
2025-09-28 9.064599 12.909906 17.842169 24.547532 33.328383 44.328639 59.027756
2025-10-05 7.951350 12.195001 17.970252 26.253068 37.648377 52.572282 73.352528
2025-10-12 7.029283 11.514713 17.945405 27.605439 41.466792 60.311493 87.464662
2025-10-19 6.044206 10.543676 17.320125 27.948531 43.801192 66.097284 99.227578
2025-10-26 5.218613 9.662356 16.671402 28.112851 45.792958 71.434696 110.601858
2025-11-02 4.438328 8.715428 15.773471 27.748160 46.887924 75.463720 120.254995
2025-11-09 3.758484 7.821128 14.827872 27.166520 47.534036 78.788250 128.979100
2025-11-16 3.177556 7.003184 13.893228 26.472402 47.888968 81.620782 137.042588
2025-11-23 2.645814 6.183889 12.841743 25.444167 47.567386 83.315144 143.371824
2025-11-30 2.406670 5.905057 12.729405 26.031337 49.964455 89.434033 156.924175
2025-12-07 2.151104 5.575984 12.531794 26.538157 52.429998 96.091503 172.192926
2025-12-14 1.822550 5.031277 11.853177 26.100427 53.241517 100.147036 183.635151
2025-12-21 1.521843 4.484462 11.085701 25.391354 53.477881 103.216586 193.599989
2025-12-28 1.464671 4.516327 11.539281 27.147298 58.421538 114.719926 218.446819
2026-01-04 1.382216 4.466987 11.805655 28.539267 62.766712 125.404108 242.417246
2026-01-11 1.236968 4.219899 11.590489 28.892360 65.110834 132.621956 260.693349
2026-01-18 1.098768 3.960651 11.307583 29.061463 67.087855 139.263191 278.259245
2026-01-25 0.949258 3.631912 10.806604 28.686152 67.916774 143.800111 292.243667
2026-02-01 0.810050 3.297967 10.238825 28.087534 68.218276 147.333324 304.541859
2026-02-08 0.686003 2.977891 9.653431 27.373088 68.199507 150.223345 315.757916
2026-02-15 0.567514 2.640323 8.962115 26.314607 67.331676 151.376397 323.731847